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2024-12-14 00:11:33

Top fund managers say that Trump's tariff plan is influenced or less than expected by the negotiation strategy. Some of the most influential and powerful fund managers in the world believe that the potential extensive tariffs of US President-elect Donald Trump are only negotiation strategies. This was the key message delivered by Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton, and Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, when they spoke at the event "Women, Money and Power" held by Bloomberg in London on Tuesday. "I think tariffs are still more of a negotiation strategy than the inevitable situation we will see," Walsh said. "I think it will be more targeted." Johnson expressed a similar view, adding that such measures are often "inflationary".Domestic black futures closed at night, with iron ore down 1.09%, iron ore down 1.09%, rebar down 0.29%, hot coil down 0.34%, coking coal down 1.48% and coke down 0.19%.The Khartoum State Government of Sudan said on the 10th that the Sudan Rapid Support Force shelled the city of Omdurman in the west of the capital Khartoum that day, killing 65 civilians.


Kaitou Macro: Trump's influence on oil and gas may come from foreign policy. Kaitou macro economists said that President-elect Trump may influence the global oil and gas supply through foreign policy rather than domestic production or trade tariffs. "We doubt whether tariffs affecting the oil industry will be effective, and the impact will be limited in the short term," economists said. "At the same time, the decision to increase production will ultimately depend on private producers who have been strictly observing capital discipline since the outbreak." In terms of climate policy, Kaitou Macro said that the biggest threat will be to cancel the tax credit for electric vehicle buyers, which will put the promotion of this car in the United States at risk of further slowdown.The observers of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant completed routine personnel rotation. The Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant and the Russian Ministry of Defense issued a statement saying that the observers of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Zaporoze Nuclear Power Plant completed routine personnel rotation that day. The Russian Ministry of Defence and the Russian National Guard provided security for the rotation. Three experts from the International Atomic Energy Agency arrived at Zaporoge nuclear power plant as observers, whose task was to supervise and evaluate the operational safety and physical safety of Zaporoge nuclear power plant. Since Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, visited Zaporoge Nuclear Power Plant for the first time on September 1, 2022, IAEA experts have been stationed at the nuclear power plant to observe.The dollar index DXY rose nearly 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.54.


The United States will use the proceeds from frozen Russian assets to lend to Ukraine. In October this year, the leaders of the Group of Seven reached a consensus on the details of providing Ukraine with a loan of 50 billion US dollars with the proceeds from frozen Russian assets as collateral. As part of the G-7 loan, the United States promised to grant Ukraine a loan of $20 billion. The Ukrainian cabinet recently issued a resolution saying that it has finalized the details of the loan with the US and approved the relevant loan agreement. Russian Finance Minister Siluanov said last month that since western countries have decided to use Russian assets and income from assets, Russia will also take corresponding actions to freeze the assets of western investors, financial market participants and companies, and will use the income generated from these assets.Wang Yi attended the 25th anniversary of Sino-Vietnamese land boundary demarcation and the 15th anniversary of the signing of the "Three Legal Documents". On December 10th, 2024, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Commissioner and Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Pei Qingshan attended the 25th anniversary of Sino-Vietnamese land boundary demarcation and the 15th anniversary of the signing of the "Three Legal Documents" in Beijing. Wang Yi said in his speech that China and Vietnam are friendly neighbors linked by mountains and rivers. In the long history, they have condensed into the traditional friendship of "deep friendship between China and Vietnam, comrades and brothers", and supported each other and helped each other in promoting the cause of socialist construction. The land border between China and Vietnam is not only a friendly bond between the two countries, but also a bridge for cooperation between the two sides. Twenty-five years ago, under the personal care and guidance of the leaders of the two parties and countries, the two sides insisted on solving the border issue through dialogue and consultation. After nine years of negotiation and consultation, they signed the Sino-Vietnamese Land Border Treaty, which laid a solid foundation for peace, stability and long-term stability in the border areas between the two countries and created favorable conditions for consolidating the traditional friendship between China and Vietnam and deepening the comprehensive strategic partnership between China and Vietnam. Over the past 25 years, with the joint efforts of both sides, the level of border management between China and Vietnam has been continuously improved, cross-border exchanges have become increasingly active, and border-related cooperation has yielded fruitful results. Wang Yi pointed out that we should create a clear and stable border, give full play to the basic and programmatic role of the Sino-Vietnamese land border treaty and the "three legal documents", strengthen the construction of border-related mechanisms such as the Land Border Joint Committee, continue to promote the legalization, systematization and standardization of border management, enhance the efficiency of border governance, and maintain a clear and stable border and a good order in border areas. We should create a border of prosperity and development, constantly improve the layout of port passages, promote the formation of a smart and convenient, compound development and friendly exchange port system, promote the connectivity of cross-border infrastructure such as bridges and roads, and promote regional coordinated development. We should build a friendly border for generations, encourage local exchanges and people-to-people exchanges, carry forward the valuable experience of successfully delineating the land border between China and Vietnam, uphold the spirit of good-neighborliness and frankness, and jointly safeguard peace, stability and development in the region. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs website)Bank for International Settlements: Swap spreads are reflecting investors' concerns about excessive bond supply. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pointed out that huge government loans are having an impact on the global interest rate market, saying that investors have demanded higher premiums for buying sovereign bonds. In its quarterly report released on Tuesday, the agency pointed out that the swap spreads of various currencies and maturities have narrowed rapidly in recent months, which are "signs of possible oversupply". As investors are worried about huge debt and deficit expansion, the yields of government bonds in the euro zone and Japan have recently exceeded comparable swap rates. This leads to the so-called swap spread becoming negative. Because national debt is usually regarded as a safer investment than interest rate swap, it is unusual for the swap spread to enter the negative range. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the negative swap spread seems to reflect the pressure faced by investors and intermediaries because they need to absorb more government bonds in the near future. In the United States, the swap spreads for some maturities have been negative for many years.

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